Who’s losing their base?

When “Howard’s battlers” defected from Labor in 1996, political commentators shifted their focus to Sydney’s western suburbs, writes Peter Brent. But what if the whole idea was founded on a misreading of the data?

21 Aug 14 | Comments (0)

Not over till they’re over: the countdown to the US midterm elections

Although some commentators say the results are certain, writes Lesley Russell, the race that will shape Barack Obama’s final two years in the White House is far from over

11 Aug 14 | Comments (0)

Fear and favour

The polarisation of Indonesia’s media during the election campaign has renewed the debate over the nexus between proprietors and politics, writes Ross Tapsell

16 Jul 14 | Comments (0)

Prabowo versus democracy in Indonesia

Despite his protestations to the contrary, Prabowo Subianto is determined he will seek a popular mandate just this once, write Marcus Mietzner and Edward Aspinall

04 Jul 14 | Comments (1)

Dancing in the dark

Both the major parties have made a habit of misinterpreting the polls on climate change, says Peter Brent. The latest results shouldn’t provide any comfort to the Coalition

03 Jul 14 | Comments (2)

Indonesia on the knife’s edge

The outside world should be worried by the possibility that Prabowo Subianto could become Indonesian president, writes Edward Aspinall, but the biggest losers will be Indonesia’s own people

17 Jun 14 | Comments (8)

Europe’s, and Britain’s, populist moment

The electoral victory of UKIP, an anti-immigrant and anti-Europe party, redraws Britain’s political map, says David Hayes

30 May 14 | Comments (1)

When Gough Whitlam helped out with the woodchopping

Poorly judged preselections are a problem for both major parties, writes Paul Rodan, and the electoral implications are becoming clearer

22 May 14 | Comments (4)